Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSSOUTH KOREAGEOPOLITICSWORLD
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

90

Good

24h vol

$278,478

7d vol

—

Open int.

$38,855

Activity

4 traders · 4 signals · updated 29 min. ago

Score breakdown

30 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

  • DEPTH_MODERATE
OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 2.85¢·Bid 0.03·Ask 0.03

No Lead

Mid 97.15¢·Bid 0.97·Ask 0.97

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0285,
    0.9715
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": null,
    "volume_24h_usd": 278478.119638,
    "open_interest_usd": 38855.42075
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":71.16948000000001,"sell":12.27688}
  • 500 {"buy":71.16948000000001,"sell":12.27688}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":3057.8156799999997,"sell":4988.34046}
  • 200 {"buy":10290.313049999999,"sell":6925.02788}
  • 500 {"buy":212110.16181,"sell":15341.779030000003}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":2395.12,"price":0.971}
  • {"size":1248.96,"price":0.97}
  • {"size":1000,"price":0.968}
  • {"size":50,"price":0.967}
  • {"size":207.46,"price":0.964}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":438.46,"price":0.972}
  • {"size":913.44,"price":0.973}
  • {"size":50,"price":0.975}
  • {"size":50,"price":0.976}
  • {"size":119.95,"price":0.978}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":438.46,"price":0.028}
  • {"size":982.44,"price":0.027}
  • {"size":50,"price":0.025}
  • {"size":50,"price":0.024}
  • {"size":119.95,"price":0.022}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":2454.12,"price":0.029}
  • {"size":1248.96,"price":0.03}
  • {"size":1000,"price":0.032}
  • {"size":50,"price":0.033}
  • {"size":207.46,"price":0.036}