Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

WORLD AFFAIRSGEOPOLITICSWORLDEARN 3.25%HFC
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$38,016

7d vol

$1,349,497

Open int.

$271,303

Activity

114 traders · 117 signals · updated 6 min. ago

Score breakdown

25 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 2.9¢·Bid 0.03·Ask 0.03

No Lead

Mid 97.1¢·Bid 0.97·Ask 0.97

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.028999999999999998,
    0.971
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 1349496.6618549998,
    "volume_24h_usd": 38016.11482800001,
    "open_interest_usd": 271302.56685
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":63.117,"sell":89.02712}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":75861.22484,"sell":110217.58763000001}
  • 200 {"buy":228960.73072,"sell":144488.97992}
  • 500 {"buy":13406260.12336,"sell":164335.01640000005}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":2103.9,"price":0.97}
  • {"size":921.43,"price":0.969}
  • {"size":3498.77,"price":0.968}
  • {"size":11845.14,"price":0.967}
  • {"size":21200,"price":0.966}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":3179.54,"price":0.972}
  • {"size":6990.15,"price":0.973}
  • {"size":2747,"price":0.974}
  • {"size":11511.34,"price":0.975}
  • {"size":9348.33,"price":0.976}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":3179.54,"price":0.028}
  • {"size":6990.15,"price":0.027}
  • {"size":2747,"price":0.026}
  • {"size":11511.34,"price":0.025}
  • {"size":9348.33,"price":0.024}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":2103.9,"price":0.03}
  • {"size":921.43,"price":0.031}
  • {"size":3498.77,"price":0.032}
  • {"size":11845.14,"price":0.033}
  • {"size":21200,"price":0.034}