Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSVENEZUELAGEOPOLITICSWORLD
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

93

Good

24h vol

$2,129

7d vol

$2,587

Open int.

$47,560

Activity

2 traders · 2 signals · updated 17 min. ago

Score breakdown

22 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 1.15¢·Bid 0.01·Ask 0.02

No Lead

Mid 98.85¢·Bid 0.99·Ask 0.99

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Event

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.011500000000000002,
    0.9885
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 2587.374447,
    "volume_24h_usd": 2129.2606459999997,
    "open_interest_usd": 47559.81776
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":5197.33072,"sell":732.14364}
  • 200 {"buy":22451.059719999997,"sell":4020.26956}
  • 500 {"buy":22451.059719999997,"sell":4501.1011}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":26.7,"price":0.985}
  • {"size":210.42,"price":0.984}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.983}
  • {"size":307.73,"price":0.982}
  • {"size":220,"price":0.975}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":9.91,"price":0.992}
  • {"size":600,"price":0.995}
  • {"size":300,"price":0.997}
  • {"size":4300,"price":0.998}
  • {"size":17271,"price":0.999}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":9.91,"price":0.008}
  • {"size":600,"price":0.005}
  • {"size":300,"price":0.003}
  • {"size":4300,"price":0.002}
  • {"size":17271,"price":0.001}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":26.7,"price":0.015}
  • {"size":210.42,"price":0.016}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.017}
  • {"size":307.73,"price":0.018}
  • {"size":220,"price":0.025}