Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSTRUMPDENMARKGREENLANDFOREIGN POLICYPARENT FOR DERIVATIVEDAVOS
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$3,438

7d vol

$168,687

Open int.

$184,718

Activity

88 traders · 88 signals · updated 15 min. ago

Score breakdown

3 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 2.55¢·Bid 0.03·Ask 0.03

No Lead

Mid 97.45¢·Bid 0.97·Ask 0.98

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

Event

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.025500000000000005,
    0.9745
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 168687.46016800002,
    "volume_24h_usd": 3437.8283979999997,
    "open_interest_usd": 184717.68427
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":152.27419999999998,"sell":494.925}
  • 500 {"buy":152.27419999999998,"sell":494.925}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":41291.960929999994,"sell":55200.34345}
  • 200 {"buy":62120.432279999986,"sell":64509.65909}
  • 500 {"buy":612384.1526299999,"sell":75796.10669}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":19797,"price":0.025}
  • {"size":3017.46,"price":0.024}
  • {"size":10354.35,"price":0.023}
  • {"size":3521.03,"price":0.022}
  • {"size":370.99,"price":0.021}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":5856.7,"price":0.026}
  • {"size":11573.16,"price":0.027}
  • {"size":7556.81,"price":0.028}
  • {"size":8019.59,"price":0.029}
  • {"size":9877,"price":0.03}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":5856.7,"price":0.974}
  • {"size":11573.16,"price":0.973}
  • {"size":7556.81,"price":0.972}
  • {"size":8019.59,"price":0.971}
  • {"size":9877,"price":0.97}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":19797,"price":0.975}
  • {"size":3017.46,"price":0.976}
  • {"size":10354.35,"price":0.977}
  • {"size":3521.03,"price":0.978}
  • {"size":370.99,"price":0.979}