Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2028, 12:59:00 PM

UKUNITED KINGDOMLABOURKEIR STARMERUK LABOUR LEADERSHIPANDY BURNHAM

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

Good

24h vol

$10,002

7d vol

$11,912

Open int.

$83,391

Activity

1 traders · 1 signals · updated 4 min. ago

Score breakdown

48 min. ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 10.5¢·Bid 0.1·Ask 0.11

No Lead

Mid 89.5¢·Bid 0.89·Ask 0.9

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution. To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution criteria

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.10500000000000001,
    0.895
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 11912.41,
    "volume_24h_usd": 10002.27,
    "open_interest_usd": 83390.9645
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
500 {"buy":1653.5067999999999,"sell":1059.3290000000002}

100 {"buy":9533.961000000001,"sell":13378.3732}
200 {"buy":45454.755000000005,"sell":37486.1756}
500 {"buy":125227.0132,"sell":49275.11060000001}

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":10593.29,"price":0.1}
{"size":39473.4,"price":0.09}
{"size":70951.4,"price":0.08}
{"size":15588.14,"price":0.07}
{"size":2094.23,"price":0.06}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":15031.88,"price":0.11}
{"size":27395.23,"price":0.12}
{"size":5173.24,"price":0.13}
{"size":8474.67,"price":0.14}
{"size":650,"price":0.15}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":15031.88,"price":0.89}
{"size":27395.23,"price":0.88}
{"size":5173.24,"price":0.87}
{"size":8474.67,"price":0.86}
{"size":650,"price":0.85}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":10593.29,"price":0.9}
{"size":39473.4,"price":0.91}
{"size":70951.4,"price":0.92}
{"size":15588.14,"price":0.93}
{"size":2094.23,"price":0.94}