Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?

OPENBinary · Closes 11/4/2026, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSELECTIONSUS ELECTIONMIDTERMSNOV 4 ELECTIONSHOUSE ELECTIONSTEXAS MIDTERMTEXAS HOUSE

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$484

7d vol

$7,996

Open int.

$55,902

Activity

—

Score breakdown

10 min. ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 1.25¢·Bid 0.01·Ask 0.01

No Lead

Mid 98.75¢·Bid 0.99·Ask 0.99

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

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Resolution criteria

https://www.fec.gov/

Resolution source

https://www.fec.gov/

Event

TX-27 House Election Winner

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0125,
    0.9875
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 7995.836668999999,
    "volume_24h_usd": 484,
    "open_interest_usd": 55902.3442
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}

100 {"buy":18755.74752,"sell":1237.29632}
200 {"buy":49344.289319999996,"sell":1237.29632}
500 {"buy":49344.289319999996,"sell":2873.13908}

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":6247.73,"price":0.011}
{"size":25,"price":0.009}
{"size":637,"price":0.008}
{"size":818.2,"price":0.007}
{"size":833.3,"price":0.006}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":1213.12,"price":0.014}
{"size":42,"price":0.02}
{"size":217,"price":0.034}
{"size":37,"price":0.035}
{"size":229,"price":0.041}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":1213.12,"price":0.986}
{"size":42,"price":0.98}
{"size":217,"price":0.966}
{"size":37,"price":0.965}
{"size":229,"price":0.959}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":6247.73,"price":0.989}
{"size":25,"price":0.991}
{"size":637,"price":0.992}
{"size":818.2,"price":0.993}
{"size":833.3,"price":0.994}