Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSTRUMPELECTIONS

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$12,648

7d vol

$26,167

Open int.

$92,547

Activity

—

Score breakdown

2 wk. ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes Lead

Mid 99.05¢·Bid 0.99·Ask 0.99

Mid 0.95¢·Bid 0.01·Ask 0.01

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Resolution criteria

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Event

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.9905,
    0.009500000000000001
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 26167.048366,
    "volume_24h_usd": 12647.956314,
    "open_interest_usd": 92546.87597
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 0
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":58851.992410000006,"sell":32164.217609999996}
200 {"buy":58851.992410000006,"sell":48808.17882999999}
500 {"buy":58851.992410000006,"sell":72745.95708}

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":6574.64,"price":0.009}
{"size":6552.24,"price":0.008}
{"size":500,"price":0.007}
{"size":1791.7,"price":0.006}
{"size":1539.23,"price":0.005}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":1189.68,"price":0.01}
{"size":3838.18,"price":0.011}
{"size":805.97,"price":0.013}
{"size":4338,"price":0.014}
{"size":5992,"price":0.015}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":1189.68,"price":0.99}
{"size":3838.18,"price":0.989}
{"size":805.97,"price":0.987}
{"size":4338,"price":0.986}
{"size":5992,"price":0.985}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":6574.64,"price":0.991}
{"size":6552.24,"price":0.992}
{"size":500,"price":0.993}
{"size":1791.7,"price":0.994}
{"size":1539.23,"price":0.995}