Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

OPENBinary · Closes 11/8/2028, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSELECTIONSUNITED STATESPRIMARIESUS ELECTIONWORLD ELECTIONSEARN 3.25%
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$102,076

7d vol

$110,588

Open int.

$1,807,190

Activity

—

Score breakdown

2 wk. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 0.15¢·Bid 0·Ask 0

No Lead

Mid 99.85¢·Bid 1·Ask 1

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Event

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0015000000000000002,
    0.9985
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 110588.045,
    "volume_24h_usd": 102075.86300000001,
    "open_interest_usd": 1807190.19678
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":883348.22754,"sell":1517418.89521}
  • 200 {"buy":883348.22754,"sell":1614407.5842100002}
  • 500 {"buy":883348.22754,"sell":1697942.5382900003}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":884232.46,"price":0.001}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":598140.63,"price":0.002}
  • {"size":97439.19,"price":0.003}
  • {"size":40531.06,"price":0.004}
  • {"size":19410.41,"price":0.005}
  • {"size":37568.87,"price":0.006}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":598140.63,"price":0.998}
  • {"size":97439.19,"price":0.997}
  • {"size":40531.06,"price":0.996}
  • {"size":19410.41,"price":0.995}
  • {"size":37568.87,"price":0.994}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":884232.46,"price":0.999}