Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/8/2027, 12:59:00 PM

MOVIESCULTURESPIDER-MANREWARDS 20, 4.5, 50THE ODYSSEY

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

Good

24h vol

$10,604

7d vol

$33,963

Open int.

$45,634

Activity

14 traders · 14 signals · updated 12 min. ago

Score breakdown

31 min. ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes Lead

Mid 95.5¢·Bid 0.95·Ask 0.96

Mid 4.5¢·Bid 0.04·Ask 0.05

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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Resolution criteria

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses

Resolution source

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses

Event

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.955,
    0.045
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 33963.17685900001,
    "volume_24h_usd": 10604.113817000001,
    "open_interest_usd": 45634.0583
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 0
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":5220.9983999999995,"sell":1204.315}
200 {"buy":24757.361,"sell":8858.2838}
500 {"buy":385119.5579,"sell":12683.6349}

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":1267.7,"price":0.95}
{"size":8142.52,"price":0.94}
{"size":9.29,"price":0.93}
{"size":2880,"price":0.92}
{"size":1282.54,"price":0.91}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":5438.54,"price":0.96}
{"size":20140.58,"price":0.97}
{"size":46743.93,"price":0.98}
{"size":317730.45,"price":0.99}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":5438.54,"price":0.04}
{"size":20140.58,"price":0.03}
{"size":46743.93,"price":0.02}
{"size":317730.45,"price":0.01}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":1267.7,"price":0.05}
{"size":8142.52,"price":0.06}
{"size":9.29,"price":0.07}
{"size":2880,"price":0.08}
{"size":1282.54,"price":0.09}