Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

BUSINESSFINANCETECHECONOMYRECURRINGBIG TECH
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$21,289

7d vol

$164,735

Open int.

$133,431

Activity

—

Score breakdown

2 wk. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 0.25¢·Bid 0·Ask 0

No Lead

Mid 99.75¢·Bid 1·Ask 1

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0025,
    0.9975
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 164735.31566599998,
    "volume_24h_usd": 21289.175666,
    "open_interest_usd": 133431.36343
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":217328.91292,"sell":8796.544129999998}
  • 200 {"buy":217328.91292,"sell":10112.52422}
  • 500 {"buy":217328.91292,"sell":13042.286279999998}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":1628.99,"price":0.002}
  • {"size":215919.1,"price":0.001}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":2263.7,"price":0.003}
  • {"size":3656.42,"price":0.004}
  • {"size":363.77,"price":0.005}
  • {"size":177.23,"price":0.006}
  • {"size":431.37,"price":0.007}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":2263.7,"price":0.997}
  • {"size":3656.42,"price":0.996}
  • {"size":363.77,"price":0.995}
  • {"size":177.23,"price":0.994}
  • {"size":431.37,"price":0.993}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":1628.99,"price":0.998}
  • {"size":215919.1,"price":0.999}