Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSGAZAMIDDLE EASTISRAELGEOPOLITICSWORLDABRAHAM ACCORDS
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$1,812

7d vol

$9,109

Open int.

$50,926

Activity

4 traders · 4 signals · updated 18 min. ago

Score breakdown

58 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 4.35¢·Bid 0.04·Ask 0.05

No Lead

Mid 95.65¢·Bid 0.96·Ask 0.96

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.043500000000000004,
    0.9565
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 9109.357868000001,
    "volume_24h_usd": 1812.2184190000003,
    "open_interest_usd": 50925.51408
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":17.815499999999997,"sell":8.611260000000001}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":4388.23352,"sell":12544.27665}
  • 200 {"buy":72599.55812,"sell":26808.801279999996}
  • 500 {"buy":466235.52984000003,"sell":33175.5015}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":205.03,"price":0.042}
  • {"size":5.93,"price":0.041}
  • {"size":365.82,"price":0.04}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.037}
  • {"size":184.24,"price":0.036}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":395.9,"price":0.045}
  • {"size":2335.11,"price":0.046}
  • {"size":649.08,"price":0.047}
  • {"size":471,"price":0.048}
  • {"size":802.74,"price":0.049}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":395.9,"price":0.955}
  • {"size":2335.11,"price":0.954}
  • {"size":649.08,"price":0.953}
  • {"size":471,"price":0.952}
  • {"size":802.74,"price":0.951}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":205.03,"price":0.958}
  • {"size":5.93,"price":0.959}
  • {"size":365.82,"price":0.96}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.963}
  • {"size":184.24,"price":0.964}