Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

OPENBinary · Closes 11/30/2026, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSELECTIONSSPAINGLOBAL ELECTIONSWORLD ELECTIONSPARLIAMENTMAIN ELECTIONPEDRO SANCHEZSPAIN ELECTIONS
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

99

Good

24h vol

$9,868

7d vol

$27,542

Open int.

$66,569

Activity

2 traders · 2 signals · updated 41 min. ago

Score breakdown

10 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 2.25¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.02

No Lead

Mid 97.75¢·Bid 0.98·Ask 0.98

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0225,
    0.9775
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 27541.704203,
    "volume_24h_usd": 9867.649386999998,
    "open_interest_usd": 66569.47264
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":5.0353900000000005,"sell":5.0175399999999994}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":14928.901740000001,"sell":1748.9693899999997}
  • 200 {"buy":43473.76937,"sell":1846.7273899999998}
  • 500 {"buy":90421.29635,"sell":6757.18714}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":218.93,"price":0.977}
  • {"size":407.41,"price":0.976}
  • {"size":1011.01,"price":0.974}
  • {"size":157.28,"price":0.971}
  • {"size":42,"price":0.959}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":228.07,"price":0.978}
  • {"size":5305.93,"price":0.979}
  • {"size":3200,"price":0.98}
  • {"size":110.06,"price":0.981}
  • {"size":3300.04,"price":0.982}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":228.07,"price":0.022}
  • {"size":5305.93,"price":0.021}
  • {"size":3200,"price":0.02}
  • {"size":110.06,"price":0.019}
  • {"size":3300.04,"price":0.018}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":218.93,"price":0.023}
  • {"size":407.41,"price":0.024}
  • {"size":1011.01,"price":0.026}
  • {"size":157.28,"price":0.029}
  • {"size":42,"price":0.041}