Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 7/1/2027, 11:59:00 AM

POLITICSCOURTSSCOTUSSUPREME COURTALITO
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

90

Good

24h vol

$2,963

7d vol

$124,237

Open int.

$47,156

Activity

18 traders · 18 signals · updated 17 min. ago

Score breakdown

16 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 16.5¢·Bid 0.16·Ask 0.17

No Lead

Mid 83.5¢·Bid 0.83·Ask 0.84

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Event

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.165,
    0.835
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 124236.80134299998,
    "volume_24h_usd": 2962.777916,
    "open_interest_usd": 47155.6921
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":757.9025,"sell":362.504}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":1903.146,"sell":3700.3475}
  • 200 {"buy":26396.150999999998,"sell":5840.9657}
  • 500 {"buy":44230.2481,"sell":17008.2081}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":2265.65,"price":0.16}
  • {"size":28815.3,"price":0.15}
  • {"size":11090.57,"price":0.14}
  • {"size":9535.87,"price":0.13}
  • {"size":5837.54,"price":0.12}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":4458.25,"price":0.17}
  • {"size":2610.51,"price":0.18}
  • {"size":11485.84,"price":0.19}
  • {"size":2329.64,"price":0.2}
  • {"size":6.33,"price":0.21}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":4458.25,"price":0.83}
  • {"size":2610.51,"price":0.82}
  • {"size":11485.84,"price":0.81}
  • {"size":2329.64,"price":0.8}
  • {"size":6.33,"price":0.79}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":2265.65,"price":0.84}
  • {"size":28815.3,"price":0.85}
  • {"size":11090.57,"price":0.86}
  • {"size":9535.87,"price":0.87}
  • {"size":5837.54,"price":0.88}