Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

OPENBinary · Closes 11/29/2026, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSELECTIONSTAIWANGLOBAL ELECTIONSMAIN ELECTIONTAIWAN ELECTIONS
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

91

Good

24h vol

$103,411

7d vol

$472,905

Open int.

$114,278

Activity

26 traders · 26 signals · updated 29 min. ago

Score breakdown

34 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

  • DEPTH_MODERATE
OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 38.95¢·Bid 0.39·Ask 0.39

No Lead

Mid 61.05¢·Bid 0.61·Ask 0.61

Price (MID)Entropy1·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Resolution criteria

https://db.cec.gov.tw/

Resolution source

https://db.cec.gov.tw/

Event

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.3895,
    0.6105
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 472904.856145,
    "volume_24h_usd": 103411.361237,
    "open_interest_usd": 114278.11848
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":3282.16217,"sell":5183.85791}
  • 200 {"buy":5266.64498,"sell":5229.927909999999}
  • 500 {"buy":6928.97065,"sell":5259.530709999999}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":8210.09209,"sell":8169.020009999999}
  • 200 {"buy":8264.719290000001,"sell":9887.32268}
  • 500 {"buy":8840.401290000002,"sell":11373.742979999997}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":13316.19,"price":0.389}
  • {"size":10,"price":0.386}
  • {"size":110,"price":0.384}
  • {"size":10,"price":0.383}
  • {"size":18.06,"price":0.38}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":6252.31,"price":0.39}
  • {"size":753.58,"price":0.391}
  • {"size":184.61,"price":0.392}
  • {"size":1213.09,"price":0.393}
  • {"size":5029.03,"price":0.394}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":6252.31,"price":0.61}
  • {"size":753.58,"price":0.609}
  • {"size":184.61,"price":0.608}
  • {"size":1213.09,"price":0.607}
  • {"size":5029.03,"price":0.606}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":13316.19,"price":0.611}
  • {"size":10,"price":0.614}
  • {"size":110,"price":0.616}
  • {"size":10,"price":0.617}
  • {"size":18.06,"price":0.62}