Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 7/1/2027, 11:59:00 AM

BUSINESSFINANCEAIOPENAIIPOSBIG TECHIPOOPENAI IPO
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

98

Good

24h vol

$16,362

7d vol

$31,017

Open int.

$24,156

Activity

5 traders · 5 signals · updated 24 min. ago

Score breakdown

28 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 2.1¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.02

No Lead

Mid 97.9¢·Bid 0.98·Ask 0.98

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

Click a column to sort

Loading signals…

Top traders

Click a column to sort

Loading traders…

Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Event

OpenAI IPO by...?

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.020999999999999998,
    0.979
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 31017.346725,
    "volume_24h_usd": 16361.941941000001,
    "open_interest_usd": 24155.72311
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":13.42,"sell":1.1076000000000001}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":2051.38418,"sell":838.7011400000001}
  • 200 {"buy":39117.2336,"sell":1671.80956}
  • 500 {"buy":75345.53903,"sell":13921.158409999998}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":610,"price":0.978}
  • {"size":223.61,"price":0.974}
  • {"size":25,"price":0.973}
  • {"size":536.01,"price":0.965}
  • {"size":149.27,"price":0.964}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":55.38,"price":0.98}
  • {"size":45.82,"price":0.981}
  • {"size":46,"price":0.982}
  • {"size":385.14,"price":0.983}
  • {"size":81.21,"price":0.984}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":55.38,"price":0.02}
  • {"size":45.82,"price":0.019}
  • {"size":46,"price":0.018}
  • {"size":385.14,"price":0.017}
  • {"size":81.21,"price":0.016}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":610,"price":0.022}
  • {"size":223.61,"price":0.026}
  • {"size":25,"price":0.027}
  • {"size":536.01,"price":0.035}
  • {"size":149.27,"price":0.036}