Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSELECTIONSUS ELECTIONMAYORLALOS ANGELESMAYORAL ELECTIONSLOS ANGELES MAYORAL ELECTIONLA MAYOR
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

97

Good

24h vol

$31,387

7d vol

$454,578

Open int.

$146,861

Activity

56 traders · 57 signals · updated 3 min. ago

Score breakdown

last mo.
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes Lead

Mid 57.85¢·Bid 0.58·Ask 0.58

No

Mid 42.15¢·Bid 0.42·Ask 0.42

Price (MID)Entropy1·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

Click a column to sort

Loading signals…

Top traders

Click a column to sort

Loading traders…

Context

Description

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Resolution criteria

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Event

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.5785,
    0.4215
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 454577.6636209999,
    "volume_24h_usd": 31386.863886,
    "open_interest_usd": 146860.57011
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 0
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":4806.5482999999995,"sell":10907.94934}
  • 200 {"buy":14349.489619999998,"sell":19754.881619999996}
  • 500 {"buy":25220.56599,"sell":27321.111029999996}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":6457.76066,"sell":3471.2217}
  • 200 {"buy":9204.14066,"sell":6748.474679999999}
  • 500 {"buy":19736.875739999996,"sell":12772.708199999995}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":6488.35,"price":0.578}
  • {"size":5548.88,"price":0.577}
  • {"size":3237.03,"price":0.576}
  • {"size":3650,"price":0.573}
  • {"size":500,"price":0.572}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":533.53,"price":0.579}
  • {"size":1785.48,"price":0.58}
  • {"size":5942.29,"price":0.581}
  • {"size":16.47,"price":0.582}
  • {"size":7916.07,"price":0.586}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":533.53,"price":0.421}
  • {"size":1785.48,"price":0.42}
  • {"size":5942.29,"price":0.419}
  • {"size":16.47,"price":0.418}
  • {"size":7916.07,"price":0.414}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":6488.35,"price":0.422}
  • {"size":5548.88,"price":0.423}
  • {"size":3237.03,"price":0.424}
  • {"size":3650,"price":0.427}
  • {"size":500,"price":0.428}