Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

SPORTSMLSSOCCER
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

98

Good

24h vol

$60

7d vol

$218

Open int.

$33,838

Activity

—

Score breakdown

2 wk. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 0.75¢·Bid 0·Ask 0.01

No Lead

Mid 99.25¢·Bid 0.99·Ask 1

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.007500000000000001,
    0.9925
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 218.38,
    "volume_24h_usd": 60.080000000000005,
    "open_interest_usd": 33837.80236
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":34812.56764,"sell":310.93255999999997}
  • 200 {"buy":34812.56764,"sell":18129.39056}
  • 500 {"buy":34812.56764,"sell":18519.30156}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":102.84,"price":0.004}
  • {"size":5800,"price":0.003}
  • {"size":4500,"price":0.002}
  • {"size":24461,"price":0.001}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":37.32,"price":0.011}
  • {"size":54.22,"price":0.012}
  • {"size":23.56,"price":0.013}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.014}
  • {"size":18182.1,"price":0.02}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":37.32,"price":0.989}
  • {"size":54.22,"price":0.988}
  • {"size":23.56,"price":0.987}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.986}
  • {"size":18182.1,"price":0.98}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":102.84,"price":0.996}
  • {"size":5800,"price":0.997}
  • {"size":4500,"price":0.998}
  • {"size":24461,"price":0.999}