Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2028, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSELECTIONSGLOBAL ELECTIONSROMANIAMAIN ELECTIONBOLOJATROMANIA GOVERNMENT
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$51,324

7d vol

$241,654

Open int.

$39,596

Activity

—

Score breakdown

2 wk. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes Lead

Mid 99.4¢·Bid 0.99·Ask 1

No

Mid 0.6¢·Bid 0.01·Ask 0.01

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

Click a column to sort

Loading signals…

Top traders

Click a column to sort

Loading traders…

Context

Description

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.994,
    0.006
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 241654.348494,
    "volume_24h_usd": 51324.212032999996,
    "open_interest_usd": 39596.0994
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 0
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":39188.48233,"sell":11055.82002}
  • 200 {"buy":39188.48233,"sell":14494.39109}
  • 500 {"buy":39188.48233,"sell":16883.12109}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":100,"price":0.005}
  • {"size":5124.53,"price":0.004}
  • {"size":7448.57,"price":0.003}
  • {"size":8520,"price":0.002}
  • {"size":18073.84,"price":0.001}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":20,"price":0.007}
  • {"size":10112.22,"price":0.009}
  • {"size":1025,"price":0.01}
  • {"size":3512.33,"price":0.021}
  • {"size":5,"price":0.03}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":20,"price":0.993}
  • {"size":10112.22,"price":0.991}
  • {"size":1025,"price":0.99}
  • {"size":3512.33,"price":0.979}
  • {"size":5,"price":0.97}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":100,"price":0.995}
  • {"size":5124.53,"price":0.996}
  • {"size":7448.57,"price":0.997}
  • {"size":8520,"price":0.998}
  • {"size":18073.84,"price":0.999}