Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

SPORTSAWARDSSOCCERBALLON D'OR
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$823,500

7d vol

$1,836,158

Open int.

$314,108

Activity

—

Score breakdown

5 days ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 0.55¢·Bid 0.01·Ask 0.01

No Lead

Mid 99.45¢·Bid 0.99·Ask 1

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Resolution criteria

https://www.francefootball.fr/

Resolution source

https://www.francefootball.fr/

Event

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0055000000000000005,
    0.9945
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 1836157.9848650002,
    "volume_24h_usd": 823499.6119739999,
    "open_interest_usd": 314107.94278
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":422852.08733,"sell":96214.35612000001}
  • 200 {"buy":422852.08733,"sell":113892.03240000001}
  • 500 {"buy":422852.08733,"sell":253353.12422000003}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":2253.29,"price":0.994}
  • {"size":50020,"price":0.993}
  • {"size":1087.94,"price":0.992}
  • {"size":13327.39,"price":0.991}
  • {"size":293.95,"price":0.99}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":48087.14,"price":0.995}
  • {"size":8994.19,"price":0.996}
  • {"size":54338.4,"price":0.997}
  • {"size":85215.74,"price":0.998}
  • {"size":227053.53,"price":0.999}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":48087.14,"price":0.005}
  • {"size":8994.19,"price":0.004}
  • {"size":54338.4,"price":0.003}
  • {"size":85215.74,"price":0.002}
  • {"size":227053.53,"price":0.001}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":2506.48,"price":0.006}
  • {"size":50020,"price":0.007}
  • {"size":3187.94,"price":0.008}
  • {"size":13327.39,"price":0.009}
  • {"size":293.95,"price":0.01}