Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

OPENBinary · Closes 11/4/2026, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSELECTIONSUNITED STATESUS ELECTIONGLOBAL ELECTIONSMIDTERMSREWARDS 50, 4.5, 20ALASKA MIDTERMGOVERNOR ELECTIONSTOSSUP GOVERNOR RACESTOSSUPSALASKA GOVERNOR
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

92

Good

24h vol

$22,234

7d vol

$60,894

Open int.

$61,047

Activity

4 traders · 4 signals · updated 51 min. ago

Score breakdown

41 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

  • DEPTH_MODERATE
OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes Lead

Mid 87.2¢·Bid 0.87·Ask 0.87

No

Mid 12.8¢·Bid 0.13·Ask 0.13

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Event

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.872,
    0.128
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 60894.17402999999,
    "volume_24h_usd": 22233.760875999993,
    "open_interest_usd": 61046.84277
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 0
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":3304.8912,"sell":2126.02707}
  • 200 {"buy":17561.42987,"sell":3230.2351200000003}
  • 500 {"buy":37708.76998,"sell":30303.900719999998}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":11.956100000000001,"sell":23.65902}
  • 500 {"buy":140.45293,"sell":236.41379999999998}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":91.97,"price":0.87}
  • {"size":50,"price":0.869}
  • {"size":22,"price":0.868}
  • {"size":419.51,"price":0.867}
  • {"size":472,"price":0.866}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":187.77,"price":0.874}
  • {"size":850,"price":0.875}
  • {"size":872.99,"price":0.878}
  • {"size":1855,"price":0.879}
  • {"size":220,"price":0.881}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":187.77,"price":0.126}
  • {"size":850,"price":0.125}
  • {"size":872.99,"price":0.122}
  • {"size":1855,"price":0.121}
  • {"size":220,"price":0.119}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":91.97,"price":0.13}
  • {"size":50,"price":0.131}
  • {"size":22,"price":0.132}
  • {"size":419.51,"price":0.133}
  • {"size":472,"price":0.134}