Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

OPENBinary · Closes 7/1/2027, 11:59:00 AM

SPORTSCHESSFIDEWORLD CHAMPIONSHIP
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

93

Good

24h vol

$15,472

7d vol

$18,303

Open int.

$54,143

Activity

1 traders · 1 signals · updated 17 min. ago

Score breakdown

25 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes Lead

Mid 76.5¢·Bid 0.76·Ask 0.77

No

Mid 23.5¢·Bid 0.23·Ask 0.24

Price (MID)Entropy1·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.765,
    0.235
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 18303.300184000003,
    "volume_24h_usd": 15472.208008000003,
    "open_interest_usd": 54143.1253
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 0
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":6874.56,"sell":52.23480000000001}
  • 200 {"buy":53686.26,"sell":4027.0248}
  • 500 {"buy":98497.8286,"sell":14812.3062}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":16.4952,"sell":2053.44}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":68.73,"price":0.76}
  • {"size":5299.72,"price":0.75}
  • {"size":9767.26,"price":0.74}
  • {"size":4873.3,"price":0.73}
  • {"size":2922.85,"price":0.72}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":8928,"price":0.77}
  • {"size":60015,"price":0.78}
  • {"size":49750.34,"price":0.79}
  • {"size":6886,"price":0.8}
  • {"size":5760,"price":0.81}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":8928,"price":0.23}
  • {"size":60015,"price":0.22}
  • {"size":49750.34,"price":0.21}
  • {"size":6886,"price":0.2}
  • {"size":5760,"price":0.19}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":68.73,"price":0.24}
  • {"size":5299.72,"price":0.25}
  • {"size":9767.26,"price":0.26}
  • {"size":4873.3,"price":0.27}
  • {"size":2922.85,"price":0.28}