Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?

Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 7/1/2027, 11:59:00 AM

POLITICSUS HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVESILHAN OMARUS HOUSEDEPORTATION
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

99

Good

24h vol

$661

7d vol

$50,737

Open int.

$60,936

Activity

2 traders · 2 signals · updated 41 min. ago

Score breakdown

10 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 2.35¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.03

No Lead

Mid 97.65¢·Bid 0.98·Ask 0.98

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

Resolution source

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

Event

Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.023500000000000004,
    0.9765
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 50736.757455,
    "volume_24h_usd": 660.850181,
    "open_interest_usd": 60936.32989
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":3042.19801,"sell":9419.957849999999}
  • 200 {"buy":31164.59243,"sell":11860.133969999999}
  • 500 {"buy":685212.2980600001,"sell":23637.24557}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":375.9,"price":0.022}
  • {"size":312.91,"price":0.02}
  • {"size":312.52,"price":0.017}
  • {"size":512,"price":0.016}
  • {"size":1580.61,"price":0.015}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":247.1,"price":0.025}
  • {"size":117.76,"price":0.026}
  • {"size":15.04,"price":0.027}
  • {"size":500,"price":0.028}
  • {"size":320,"price":0.029}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":247.1,"price":0.975}
  • {"size":117.76,"price":0.974}
  • {"size":15.04,"price":0.973}
  • {"size":500,"price":0.972}
  • {"size":320,"price":0.971}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":375.9,"price":0.978}
  • {"size":312.91,"price":0.98}
  • {"size":312.52,"price":0.983}
  • {"size":512,"price":0.984}
  • {"size":1580.61,"price":0.985}