Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?

Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSTRUMPJAMES COMEY
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

97

Good

24h vol

$3,436

7d vol

$35,873

Open int.

$70,022

Activity

2 traders · 2 signals · updated 57 min. ago

Score breakdown

1 hr. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 1.6¢·Bid 0.01·Ask 0.02

No Lead

Mid 98.4¢·Bid 0.98·Ask 0.99

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.016,
    0.984
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 35873.301014,
    "volume_24h_usd": 3435.7357540000003,
    "open_interest_usd": 70021.66422
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":6199.35275,"sell":619.94408}
  • 200 {"buy":145391.65393,"sell":6497.50393}
  • 500 {"buy":145391.65393,"sell":20488.04501}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":37.25,"price":0.98}
  • {"size":199.96,"price":0.979}
  • {"size":243.12,"price":0.977}
  • {"size":154,"price":0.975}
  • {"size":539,"price":0.974}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":40,"price":0.988}
  • {"size":4406.44,"price":0.989}
  • {"size":150,"price":0.99}
  • {"size":311.89,"price":0.991}
  • {"size":440,"price":0.992}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":40,"price":0.012}
  • {"size":4406.44,"price":0.011}
  • {"size":150,"price":0.01}
  • {"size":311.89,"price":0.009}
  • {"size":1690,"price":0.008}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":37.25,"price":0.02}
  • {"size":199.96,"price":0.021}
  • {"size":243.12,"price":0.023}
  • {"size":154,"price":0.025}
  • {"size":539,"price":0.026}