Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

FINANCECOMMODITIESGOLDRECURRINGHIDE FROM NEWCOMEX GOLD FEATURES
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$15,622

7d vol

$73,251

Open int.

$45,512

Activity

5 traders · 5 signals · updated 55 min. ago

Score breakdown

57 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 3.55¢·Bid 0.03·Ask 0.04

No Lead

Mid 96.45¢·Bid 0.96·Ask 0.97

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market’s creation will not be considered. For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures. If the official settlement price for any relevant trading day has not been published on the CME Group website within 72 hours of the final trading day (ET) of the specified period, the market will resolve based on the settlement prices published through all CME channels up to that point.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market’s creation will not be considered. For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures. If the official settlement price for any relevant trading day has not been published on the CME Group website within 72 hours of the final trading day (ET) of the specified period, the market will resolve based on the settlement prices published through all CME channels up to that point.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures. If the official settlement price for any relevant trading day has not been published on the CME Group website within 72 hours of the final trading day (ET) of the specified period, the market will resolve based on the settlement prices published through all CME channels up to that point.

Event

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.03550000000000001,
    0.9645
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 73251.05366,
    "volume_24h_usd": 15622.006896,
    "open_interest_usd": 45512.04049
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":17.75926,"sell":564.19532}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":18779.88491,"sell":1145.18074}
  • 200 {"buy":45751.126990000004,"sell":4917.002739999999}
  • 500 {"buy":92434.71251000001,"sell":4973.60554}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":479.98,"price":0.963}
  • {"size":20,"price":0.962}
  • {"size":492,"price":0.96}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.957}
  • {"size":1204,"price":0.951}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":16593.98,"price":0.966}
  • {"size":1700,"price":0.968}
  • {"size":9.67,"price":0.969}
  • {"size":1129,"price":0.97}
  • {"size":1500,"price":0.977}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":16593.98,"price":0.034}
  • {"size":1700,"price":0.032}
  • {"size":9.67,"price":0.031}
  • {"size":1129,"price":0.03}
  • {"size":1500,"price":0.023}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":479.98,"price":0.037}
  • {"size":20,"price":0.038}
  • {"size":492,"price":0.04}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.043}
  • {"size":1204,"price":0.049}