Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

OPENBinary · Closes 11/8/2028, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSELECTIONSUNITED STATESPRIMARIESUS ELECTIONGLOBAL ELECTIONSWORLD ELECTIONSEARN 3.25%
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$6,408

7d vol

$138,009

Open int.

$540,288

Activity

—

Score breakdown

2 days ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 0.15¢·Bid 0·Ask 0

No Lead

Mid 99.85¢·Bid 1·Ask 1

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Event

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0015000000000000002,
    0.9985
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 138009.143,
    "volume_24h_usd": 6407.6,
    "open_interest_usd": 540287.55271
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":584291.0340900001,"sell":459186.31365}
  • 200 {"buy":584291.0340900001,"sell":459264.87365}
  • 500 {"buy":584291.0340900001,"sell":459264.87365}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":436293.71,"price":0.998}
  • {"size":18588.31,"price":0.997}
  • {"size":100,"price":0.996}
  • {"size":100,"price":0.995}
  • {"size":59,"price":0.994}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":584875.91,"price":0.999}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":584875.91,"price":0.001}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":436293.71,"price":0.002}
  • {"size":18588.31,"price":0.003}
  • {"size":100,"price":0.004}
  • {"size":100,"price":0.005}
  • {"size":59,"price":0.006}