Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

IRANFINANCEOILGEOPOLITICSCOMMODITIES

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

Good

24h vol

$18,446

7d vol

$116,821

Open int.

$112,989

Activity

37 traders · 37 signals · updated 16 min. ago

Score breakdown

34 min. ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 16.5¢·Bid 0.16·Ask 0.17

No Lead

Mid 83.5¢·Bid 0.83·Ask 0.84

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.

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Resolution criteria

https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html

Resolution source

https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html

Event

Crude Oil all time high by...?

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.165,
    0.835
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 116820.925843,
    "volume_24h_usd": 18445.811304000003,
    "open_interest_usd": 112989.0441
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
500 {"buy":30.977400000000003,"sell":6143.064}

100 {"buy":32251.086,"sell":151.24259999999998}
200 {"buy":51073.486,"sell":625.8585999999999}
500 {"buy":80080.7121,"sell":6414.4665}

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":182.22,"price":0.83}
{"size":578.8,"price":0.82}
{"size":1779.99,"price":0.81}
{"size":5433.52,"price":0.8}
{"size":705,"price":0.79}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":38394.15,"price":0.84}
{"size":22144,"price":0.85}
{"size":4290.91,"price":0.86}
{"size":29100.05,"price":0.87}
{"size":21045,"price":0.88}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":38394.15,"price":0.16}
{"size":22144,"price":0.15}
{"size":4290.91,"price":0.14}
{"size":29100.05,"price":0.13}
{"size":21045,"price":0.12}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":182.22,"price":0.17}
{"size":578.8,"price":0.18}
{"size":1779.99,"price":0.19}
{"size":5433.52,"price":0.2}
{"size":705,"price":0.21}