Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSCRYPTOBITCOINCHINAGEOPOLITICSECONOMYWORLDCRYPTO LEGAL
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$1,124,795

7d vol

—

Open int.

$13,179

Activity

3 traders · 3 signals · updated 35 min. ago

Score breakdown

4 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 1.3¢·Bid 0.01·Ask 0.01

No Lead

Mid 98.7¢·Bid 0.99·Ask 0.99

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Event

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.013000000000000001,
    0.987
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": null,
    "volume_24h_usd": 1124795.329719,
    "open_interest_usd": 13178.5249
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":34288.33166,"sell":5012.29083}
  • 200 {"buy":311436.58545,"sell":5978.909540000001}
  • 500 {"buy":311436.58545,"sell":6475.2203500000005}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":8.99,"price":0.986}
  • {"size":210,"price":0.984}
  • {"size":1544.43,"price":0.983}
  • {"size":3000,"price":0.982}
  • {"size":92,"price":0.979}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":9.78,"price":0.988}
  • {"size":3721.27,"price":0.989}
  • {"size":623.09,"price":0.99}
  • {"size":1786.32,"price":0.991}
  • {"size":2034.24,"price":0.992}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":9.78,"price":0.012}
  • {"size":3721.27,"price":0.011}
  • {"size":623.09,"price":0.01}
  • {"size":1786.32,"price":0.009}
  • {"size":2034.24,"price":0.008}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":8.99,"price":0.014}
  • {"size":210,"price":0.016}
  • {"size":1544.43,"price":0.017}
  • {"size":3000,"price":0.018}
  • {"size":92,"price":0.021}