Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

OPENBinary · Closes 11/29/2026, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSELECTIONSTAIWANGLOBAL ELECTIONSMAIN ELECTIONTAIWAN ELECTIONS

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

Good

24h vol

$52,978

7d vol

$741,292

Open int.

$449,636

Activity

32 traders · 32 signals · updated 21 min. ago

Score breakdown

1 hr. ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes Lead

Mid 67.5¢·Bid 0.67·Ask 0.68

Mid 32.5¢·Bid 0.32·Ask 0.33

Price (MID)Entropy1·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Resolution criteria

https://db.cec.gov.tw/

Resolution source

https://db.cec.gov.tw/

Event

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.675,
    0.325
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 741292.311105,
    "volume_24h_usd": 52977.516115,
    "open_interest_usd": 449635.6106
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 0
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":37782.0648,"sell":15164.311}
200 {"buy":37782.0648,"sell":15164.311}
500 {"buy":125566.0788,"sell":67345.0692}

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":7468.9890000000005,"sell":17779.7952}
500 {"buy":18076.094800000003,"sell":39138.3612}

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":22633.3,"price":0.67}
{"size":31197.37,"price":0.66}
{"size":48600.76,"price":0.65}
{"size":206871.49,"price":0.64}
{"size":15941.4,"price":0.63}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":55561.86,"price":0.68}
{"size":68898.6,"price":0.69}
{"size":57491.4,"price":0.7}
{"size":227836.35,"price":0.71}
{"size":30953.54,"price":0.72}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":55561.86,"price":0.32}
{"size":68898.6,"price":0.31}
{"size":57491.4,"price":0.3}
{"size":227836.35,"price":0.29}
{"size":30953.54,"price":0.28}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":22633.3,"price":0.33}
{"size":31197.37,"price":0.34}
{"size":48600.76,"price":0.35}
{"size":206871.49,"price":0.36}
{"size":15941.4,"price":0.37}