Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 1:00:00 PM

CRYPTOBITCOINCRYPTO PRICESHIT PRICEEARN 3.25%YEARLY
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$1,012

7d vol

$11,968

Open int.

$181,650

Activity

—

Score breakdown

2 wk. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 0.25¢·Bid 0·Ask 0

No Lead

Mid 99.75¢·Bid 1·Ask 1

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution criteria

https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

Resolution source

https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

Event

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0025,
    0.9975
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 11968.158334,
    "volume_24h_usd": 1012.022,
    "open_interest_usd": 181649.85369
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":231533.46905,"sell":69858.60663999998}
  • 200 {"buy":231533.46905,"sell":75387.21063999998}
  • 500 {"buy":231533.46905,"sell":81265.57063999998}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":1299.27,"price":0.997}
  • {"size":1255.71,"price":0.996}
  • {"size":11168.16,"price":0.995}
  • {"size":30619.54,"price":0.994}
  • {"size":15637.1,"price":0.993}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":18487.21,"price":0.998}
  • {"size":213296.53,"price":0.999}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":18487.21,"price":0.002}
  • {"size":213296.53,"price":0.001}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":1299.27,"price":0.003}
  • {"size":1255.71,"price":0.004}
  • {"size":11168.16,"price":0.005}
  • {"size":30619.54,"price":0.006}
  • {"size":15637.1,"price":0.007}