Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in October?

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in October?

OPENBinary · Closes 11/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM

CRYPTOBITCOINCRYPTO PRICESRECURRINGHIT PRICEMONTHLY
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

90

Good

24h vol

$25,474

7d vol

$25,474

Open int.

$77,302

Activity

—

Score breakdown

4 wk. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes Lead

Mid 87¢·Bid 0.86·Ask 0.88

No

Mid 13.45¢·Bid 0.13·Ask 0.14

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Event

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.8661025385764062,
    0.13389746142359385
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 25473.822868,
    "volume_24h_usd": 25473.822868,
    "open_interest_usd": 77301.92966
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 0
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":1978.73,"sell":33915.905}
  • 200 {"buy":4410.8,"sell":33928.79}
  • 500 {"buy":7278.64,"sell":35437.894}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":5384.095000000001,"sell":19.950000000000003}
  • 500 {"buy":5385.495000000001,"sell":32.300000000000004}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":150,"price":0.133}
  • {"size":95,"price":0.13}
  • {"size":970,"price":0.123}
  • {"size":1190,"price":0.122}
  • {"size":95,"price":0.12}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":5,"price":0.136}
  • {"size":39295,"price":0.137}
  • {"size":5,"price":0.139}
  • {"size":5,"price":0.141}
  • {"size":5,"price":0.143}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":5,"price":0.864}
  • {"size":39295,"price":0.863}
  • {"size":5,"price":0.861}
  • {"size":5,"price":0.859}
  • {"size":5,"price":0.857}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":95,"price":0.876}
  • {"size":970,"price":0.877}
  • {"size":1190,"price":0.878}
  • {"size":2745,"price":0.886}
  • {"size":95,"price":0.896}