Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 1:00:00 PM

CRYPTOBITCOINCRYPTO PRICESHIT PRICEEARN 3.25%YEARLY

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

Good

24h vol

$53,793

7d vol

$65,540

Open int.

$108,716

Activity

20 traders · 20 signals · updated 22 min. ago

Score breakdown

3 days ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 3.05¢·Bid 0.03·Ask 0.03

No Lead

Mid 96.95¢·Bid 0.97·Ask 0.97

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

Click a column to sort

Loading signals…

Top traders

Click a column to sort

Loading traders…

Context

Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Show more Show less

Resolution criteria

https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

Resolution source

https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

Event

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0305,
    0.9695
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 65539.611337,
    "volume_24h_usd": 53793.009999999995,
    "open_interest_usd": 108716.48017
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":74.152,"sell":3.75}
500 {"buy":74.152,"sell":4.33}

100 {"buy":8330.25608,"sell":5584.330419999999}
200 {"buy":27402.582179999998,"sell":8789.1384}
500 {"buy":1768106.30211,"sell":12657.878400000001}

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":125,"price":0.03}
{"size":20,"price":0.029}
{"size":5,"price":0.028}
{"size":294,"price":0.027}
{"size":5,"price":0.026}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":2392,"price":0.031}
{"size":2335,"price":0.033}
{"size":97.87,"price":0.034}
{"size":5,"price":0.035}
{"size":294,"price":0.036}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":2392,"price":0.969}
{"size":2335,"price":0.967}
{"size":97.87,"price":0.966}
{"size":5,"price":0.965}
{"size":294,"price":0.964}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":125,"price":0.97}
{"size":20,"price":0.971}
{"size":5,"price":0.972}
{"size":294,"price":0.973}
{"size":5,"price":0.974}