Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/2/2027, 12:59:00 PM

SPACEXSCIENCEBUSINESSFINANCEELON MUSKSAM ALTMANOPENAIIPOSSPACEBIG TECHIPOCLIMATE & SCIENCEOPENAI IPOAI BUBBLE
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

94

Good

24h vol

$32,819

7d vol

$151,669

Open int.

$82,374

Activity

9 traders · 9 signals · updated 11 min. ago

Score breakdown

19 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 8.25¢·Bid 0.08·Ask 0.09

No Lead

Mid 91.75¢·Bid 0.92·Ask 0.92

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Resolution criteria

https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/

Resolution source

https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/

Event

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0825,
    0.9175
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 151668.794421,
    "volume_24h_usd": 32819.328959,
    "open_interest_usd": 82373.59666
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":843.71585,"sell":656.9488}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":10263.155200000001,"sell":11831.34898}
  • 200 {"buy":10942.507200000002,"sell":15240.90687}
  • 500 {"buy":23429.832830000003,"sell":26636.08157}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":8211.86,"price":0.08}
  • {"size":2931,"price":0.076}
  • {"size":220,"price":0.073}
  • {"size":440,"price":0.07}
  • {"size":51,"price":0.068}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":9319.01,"price":0.085}
  • {"size":600,"price":0.086}
  • {"size":2010.73,"price":0.088}
  • {"size":1012.37,"price":0.089}
  • {"size":220,"price":0.092}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":9319.01,"price":0.915}
  • {"size":600,"price":0.914}
  • {"size":2010.73,"price":0.912}
  • {"size":1012.37,"price":0.911}
  • {"size":220,"price":0.908}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":8211.86,"price":0.92}
  • {"size":2931,"price":0.924}
  • {"size":220,"price":0.927}
  • {"size":440,"price":0.93}
  • {"size":51,"price":0.932}