Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?

Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSTRUMPJAMES COMEY
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

97

Good

24h vol

$1,283

7d vol

$28,823

Open int.

$47,630

Activity

6 traders · 6 signals · updated 46 min. ago

Score breakdown

51 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 5.2¢·Bid 0.05·Ask 0.05

No Lead

Mid 94.8¢·Bid 0.95·Ask 0.95

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.052000000000000005,
    0.948
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 28822.538245,
    "volume_24h_usd": 1283.41,
    "open_interest_usd": 47629.99102
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":70.60554,"sell":30.5015}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":3466.3140299999995,"sell":3796.36577}
  • 200 {"buy":18832.56599,"sell":17031.54114}
  • 500 {"buy":126278.90907,"sell":27155.92907}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":1307.51,"price":0.946}
  • {"size":217,"price":0.944}
  • {"size":1600,"price":0.943}
  • {"size":460,"price":0.942}
  • {"size":439.29,"price":0.939}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":610.03,"price":0.95}
  • {"size":249.76,"price":0.951}
  • {"size":124.07,"price":0.953}
  • {"size":1660,"price":0.954}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.955}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":610.03,"price":0.05}
  • {"size":249.76,"price":0.049}
  • {"size":124.07,"price":0.047}
  • {"size":1660,"price":0.046}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.045}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":1307.51,"price":0.054}
  • {"size":217,"price":0.056}
  • {"size":1600,"price":0.057}
  • {"size":460,"price":0.058}
  • {"size":439.29,"price":0.061}