Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

OPENBinary · Closes 11/8/2028, 12:59:00 PM

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$15,934

7d vol

$80,083

Open int.

$268,353

Activity

37 traders · 45 signals · updated 13 min. ago

Score breakdown

10 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 16.75¢·Bid 0.17·Ask 0.17

No Lead

Mid 83.25¢·Bid 0.83·Ask 0.83

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.1675,
    0.8325
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 80083.230696,
    "volume_24h_usd": 15934.184903999998,
    "open_interest_usd": 268353.36636
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":89.25397000000001,"sell":3.87278}
  • 200 {"buy":484.4342700000001,"sell":3.87278}
  • 500 {"buy":777.8262700000001,"sell":2427.25697}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":12634.163029999998,"sell":3772.8937300000002}
  • 200 {"buy":44415.72003,"sell":9107.24864}
  • 500 {"buy":134149.22427,"sell":44922.7091}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":23.33,"price":0.166}
  • {"size":22,"price":0.164}
  • {"size":92.36,"price":0.163}
  • {"size":2024,"price":0.162}
  • {"size":12876.71,"price":0.161}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":528.13,"price":0.169}
  • {"size":2324.59,"price":0.17}
  • {"size":412,"price":0.172}
  • {"size":1236,"price":0.173}
  • {"size":50,"price":0.174}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":528.13,"price":0.831}
  • {"size":2324.59,"price":0.83}
  • {"size":412,"price":0.828}
  • {"size":1236,"price":0.827}
  • {"size":50,"price":0.826}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":23.33,"price":0.834}
  • {"size":22,"price":0.836}
  • {"size":92.36,"price":0.837}
  • {"size":2024,"price":0.838}
  • {"size":12876.71,"price":0.839}