Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2028, 1:00:00 PM

CRYPTOFDVPRE-MARKETVARIATIONAL
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

95

Good

24h vol

$5

7d vol

$171

Open int.

$18,670

Activity

3 traders · 3 signals · updated 21 min. ago

Score breakdown

26 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes Lead

Mid 97.9¢·Bid 0.98·Ask 0.98

No

Mid 2.1¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.02

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution source

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Event

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.979,
    0.020999999999999998
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 170.699796,
    "volume_24h_usd": 5.14,
    "open_interest_usd": 18670.06451
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 0
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":428.517,"sell":561.6392000000001}
  • 200 {"buy":30199.91192,"sell":561.6392000000001}
  • 500 {"buy":32717.39192,"sell":987.7892}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":155,"price":0.018}
  • {"size":150,"price":0.017}
  • {"size":77,"price":0.013}
  • {"size":53.5,"price":0.012}
  • {"size":43.87,"price":0.011}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":575.45,"price":0.024}
  • {"size":450,"price":0.053}
  • {"size":530,"price":0.093}
  • {"size":450,"price":0.163}
  • {"size":84.32,"price":0.186}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":575.45,"price":0.976}
  • {"size":450,"price":0.947}
  • {"size":530,"price":0.907}
  • {"size":450,"price":0.837}
  • {"size":84.32,"price":0.814}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":155,"price":0.982}
  • {"size":150,"price":0.983}
  • {"size":77,"price":0.987}
  • {"size":53.5,"price":0.988}
  • {"size":43.87,"price":0.989}