Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSIRANTRUMPSTRAIT OF HORMUZGEOPOLITICS

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

Good

24h vol

$1,985

7d vol

$9,794

Open int.

$35,072

Activity

1 traders · 1 signals · updated 20 min. ago

Score breakdown

24 min. ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

DEPTH_MODERATE

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 2.7¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.03

No Lead

Mid 97.3¢·Bid 0.97·Ask 0.98

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution criteria

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.027,
    0.973
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 9793.777528999999,
    "volume_24h_usd": 1985.27,
    "open_interest_usd": 35071.71911
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}

100 {"buy":8892.832209999999,"sell":12136.46018}
200 {"buy":12371.014009999999,"sell":12271.14018}
500 {"buy":125552.21695,"sell":12355.18914}

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":207.04,"price":0.97}
{"size":825.7,"price":0.969}
{"size":9008.81,"price":0.968}
{"size":2500,"price":0.966}
{"size":140,"price":0.962}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":40,"price":0.976}
{"size":7000,"price":0.977}
{"size":2047.99,"price":0.979}
{"size":10,"price":0.981}
{"size":10,"price":0.984}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":40,"price":0.024}
{"size":7000,"price":0.023}
{"size":2047.99,"price":0.021}
{"size":10,"price":0.019}
{"size":10,"price":0.016}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":207.04,"price":0.03}
{"size":825.7,"price":0.031}
{"size":9008.81,"price":0.032}
{"size":2500,"price":0.034}
{"size":140,"price":0.038}