Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSTRUMPELECTIONSEPSTEINGEOPOLITICS
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$16,423

7d vol

$324,608

Open int.

$317,088

Activity

97 traders · 97 signals · updated 3 min. ago

Score breakdown

20 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 3.85¢·Bid 0.04·Ask 0.04

No Lead

Mid 96.15¢·Bid 0.96·Ask 0.96

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event

Trump out as President before 2027?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0385,
    0.9615
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 324608.022354,
    "volume_24h_usd": 16422.567131,
    "open_interest_usd": 317088.16365
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":67.17399,"sell":51.13774}
  • 500 {"buy":400.20599,"sell":104.56537}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":23601.6555,"sell":22207.159}
  • 200 {"buy":549998.9440499999,"sell":58941.19419}
  • 500 {"buy":12627445.180879999,"sell":144279.90573}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":1722.41,"price":0.961}
  • {"size":8325.8,"price":0.96}
  • {"size":27,"price":0.959}
  • {"size":766.73,"price":0.958}
  • {"size":1637,"price":0.957}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":1345.73,"price":0.962}
  • {"size":1443.99,"price":0.963}
  • {"size":1264.93,"price":0.964}
  • {"size":4940.26,"price":0.965}
  • {"size":2826.98,"price":0.966}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":1345.73,"price":0.038}
  • {"size":1443.99,"price":0.037}
  • {"size":1264.93,"price":0.036}
  • {"size":4940.26,"price":0.035}
  • {"size":2826.98,"price":0.034}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":1722.41,"price":0.039}
  • {"size":8325.8,"price":0.04}
  • {"size":27,"price":0.041}
  • {"size":766.73,"price":0.042}
  • {"size":1637,"price":0.043}