Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?

OPENBinary · Closes 11/1/2026, 11:59:00 AM

POLITICSIRANSAUDI ARABIAOILHOUTHISYEMENGEOPOLITICS
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

90

Good

24h vol

$56,693

7d vol

$379,600

Open int.

$12,401

Activity

—

Score breakdown

4 wk. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

  • DEPTH_MODERATE
OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 0.2¢·Bid 0·Ask 0

No Lead

Mid 99.8¢·Bid 1·Ask 1

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies. Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.

Resolution criteria

On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies. Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.

Event

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.002,
    0.998
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 379599.53610600054,
    "volume_24h_usd": 56693.060429,
    "open_interest_usd": 12401.4453
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":14574.74067,"sell":2377.21386}
  • 200 {"buy":14574.74067,"sell":2377.21386}
  • 500 {"buy":14574.74067,"sell":4265.45722}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":525.56,"price":0.997}
  • {"size":89.07,"price":0.996}
  • {"size":7.71,"price":0.995}
  • {"size":292.13,"price":0.993}
  • {"size":605.51,"price":0.992}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":14589.33,"price":0.999}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":14589.33,"price":0.001}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":525.56,"price":0.003}
  • {"size":89.07,"price":0.004}
  • {"size":7.71,"price":0.005}
  • {"size":292.13,"price":0.007}
  • {"size":605.51,"price":0.008}