Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSRUSSIAUKRAINEZELENSKYYPUTINZELENSKYGEOPOLITICS
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

92

Good

24h vol

$9,138

7d vol

$63,260

Open int.

$52,113

Activity

7 traders · 7 signals · updated 5 min. ago

Score breakdown

6 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

  • DEPTH_MODERATE
OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes Lead

Mid 98.5¢·Bid 0.98·Ask 0.99

No

Mid 1.5¢·Bid 0.01·Ask 0.02

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Event

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.985,
    0.015
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 63259.847779,
    "volume_24h_usd": 9138.236577000001,
    "open_interest_usd": 52112.6754
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 0
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":2313.2138999999997,"sell":481.67}
  • 200 {"buy":18303.7969,"sell":2889.94528}
  • 500 {"buy":18303.7969,"sell":5133.842980000001}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":1000,"price":0.013}
  • {"size":1339.61,"price":0.01}
  • {"size":1133,"price":0.004}
  • {"size":1000,"price":0.003}
  • {"size":1005,"price":0.002}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":490,"price":0.017}
  • {"size":1131,"price":0.027}
  • {"size":855.99,"price":0.028}
  • {"size":490,"price":0.029}
  • {"size":10,"price":0.037}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":490,"price":0.983}
  • {"size":1131,"price":0.973}
  • {"size":855.99,"price":0.972}
  • {"size":490,"price":0.971}
  • {"size":10,"price":0.963}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":1000,"price":0.987}
  • {"size":1339.61,"price":0.99}
  • {"size":1133,"price":0.996}
  • {"size":1000,"price":0.997}
  • {"size":1005,"price":0.998}