Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 7/1/2027, 11:59:00 AM

POLITICSRUSSIAUKRAINEPUTINGEOPOLITICSWORLDEARN 3.25%
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$13,413

7d vol

$497,358

Open int.

$565,132

Activity

110 traders · 111 signals · updated 20 sec. ago

Score breakdown

16 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 1.9¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.02

No Lead

Mid 98.1¢·Bid 0.98·Ask 0.98

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
—
Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.019,
    0.981
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 497357.924869,
    "volume_24h_usd": 13412.577027,
    "open_interest_usd": 565132.35427
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":243899.46196,"sell":235419.52521}
  • 200 {"buy":5829644.85228,"sell":278537.35603}
  • 500 {"buy":5829644.85228,"sell":322785.15812000004}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":5114.22,"price":0.018}
  • {"size":12329.55,"price":0.017}
  • {"size":15640.36,"price":0.016}
  • {"size":49192.99,"price":0.015}
  • {"size":41669.15,"price":0.014}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":63720.96,"price":0.02}
  • {"size":26045.54,"price":0.021}
  • {"size":27271.92,"price":0.022}
  • {"size":2406.49,"price":0.023}
  • {"size":53697.9,"price":0.024}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":63720.96,"price":0.98}
  • {"size":26045.54,"price":0.979}
  • {"size":27271.92,"price":0.978}
  • {"size":2406.49,"price":0.977}
  • {"size":53697.9,"price":0.976}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":5114.22,"price":0.982}
  • {"size":12329.55,"price":0.983}
  • {"size":15640.36,"price":0.984}
  • {"size":49192.99,"price":0.985}
  • {"size":41669.15,"price":0.986}