Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSSPAINGEOPOLITICSSPAIN ELECTIONS

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

Good

24h vol

$11,015

7d vol

$22,144

Open int.

$40,256

Activity

7 traders · 7 signals · updated 36 sec. ago

Score breakdown

30 min. ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 14.5¢·Bid 0.14·Ask 0.15

No Lead

Mid 85.5¢·Bid 0.85·Ask 0.86

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution criteria

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.14500000000000002,
    0.855
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 22144.096669,
    "volume_24h_usd": 11014.752705,
    "open_interest_usd": 40255.9418
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
500 {"buy":73.05,"sell":2320.3586000000005}

100 {"buy":14253.631400000002,"sell":413.95}
200 {"buy":46848.755600000004,"sell":1442.6392}
500 {"buy":70057.13130000001,"sell":7819.8826}

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":16573.99,"price":0.14}
{"size":37465.66,"price":0.13}
{"size":18191.9,"price":0.12}
{"size":8089.33,"price":0.11}
{"size":3238.5,"price":0.1}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":487,"price":0.15}
{"size":1224.63,"price":0.16}
{"size":7460.86,"price":0.17}
{"size":225.28,"price":0.18}
{"size":502.37,"price":0.19}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":487,"price":0.85}
{"size":1224.63,"price":0.84}
{"size":7460.86,"price":0.83}
{"size":225.28,"price":0.82}
{"size":502.37,"price":0.81}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":16573.99,"price":0.86}
{"size":37465.66,"price":0.87}
{"size":18191.9,"price":0.88}
{"size":8089.33,"price":0.89}
{"size":3238.5,"price":0.9}