OpenAI IPO before 2027?

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

BUSINESSFINANCEIPOSRECURRINGBIG TECH
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$12,220

7d vol

$23,912

Open int.

$58,509

Activity

4 traders · 4 signals · updated 44 sec. ago

Score breakdown

6 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 2.55¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.03

No Lead

Mid 97.45¢·Bid 0.97·Ask 0.98

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Event

IPOs before 2027?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.025500000000000005,
    0.9745
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 23911.75052,
    "volume_24h_usd": 12219.700736,
    "open_interest_usd": 58509.47515
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":10360.82011,"sell":7903.81707}
  • 200 {"buy":37658.75271000001,"sell":17850.77783}
  • 500 {"buy":517822.89712,"sell":50480.02558999999}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":458.06,"price":0.024}
  • {"size":4402,"price":0.023}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.022}
  • {"size":2200,"price":0.021}
  • {"size":486.81,"price":0.02}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":74.2,"price":0.027}
  • {"size":672.05,"price":0.028}
  • {"size":799.99,"price":0.029}
  • {"size":518.56,"price":0.03}
  • {"size":3785,"price":0.031}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":74.2,"price":0.973}
  • {"size":672.05,"price":0.972}
  • {"size":799.99,"price":0.971}
  • {"size":518.56,"price":0.97}
  • {"size":3785,"price":0.969}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":458.06,"price":0.976}
  • {"size":4402,"price":0.977}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.978}
  • {"size":2200,"price":0.979}
  • {"size":486.81,"price":0.98}