New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

SCIENCEPANDEMICSRECURRINGWORLDCLIMATE & SCIENCEHANTAVIRUS
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$3,820

7d vol

$39,337

Open int.

$40,245

Activity

11 traders · 11 signals · updated 29 min. ago

Score breakdown

34 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 2.1¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.02

No Lead

Mid 97.9¢·Bid 0.98·Ask 0.98

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

Resolution source

The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

Event

New pandemic in 2026?

Resolve
—
Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.020999999999999998,
    0.979
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 39336.51027299999,
    "volume_24h_usd": 3819.707294,
    "open_interest_usd": 40244.81008
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":6.23238,"sell":88.7798}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":12675.182009999999,"sell":14425.975959999998}
  • 200 {"buy":74254.71567,"sell":18293.17732}
  • 500 {"buy":167641.56534,"sell":24761.51587}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":4438.99,"price":0.02}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.019}
  • {"size":108.77,"price":0.018}
  • {"size":1942,"price":0.017}
  • {"size":1429,"price":0.014}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":283.29,"price":0.022}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.023}
  • {"size":50.91,"price":0.024}
  • {"size":431.34,"price":0.025}
  • {"size":1859.99,"price":0.026}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":283.29,"price":0.978}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.977}
  • {"size":50.91,"price":0.976}
  • {"size":431.34,"price":0.975}
  • {"size":1859.99,"price":0.974}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":4438.99,"price":0.98}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.981}
  • {"size":108.77,"price":0.982}
  • {"size":1942,"price":0.983}
  • {"size":1429,"price":0.986}