Modi out by December 31, 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSINDIAPAKISTANGEOPOLITICSWORLDINDIA-PAKISTANCOCKROACH PARTY

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$862

7d vol

$60,622

Open int.

$160,474

Activity

9 traders · 9 signals · updated 5 min. ago

Score breakdown

26 min. ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 1.45¢·Bid 0.01·Ask 0.02

No Lead

Mid 98.55¢·Bid 0.99·Ask 0.99

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution criteria

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.014499999999999999,
    0.9855
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 60622.089264999995,
    "volume_24h_usd": 861.96,
    "open_interest_usd": 160474.29387
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
500 {"buy":24.34485,"sell":3.955}

100 {"buy":19237.321379999998,"sell":14263.505239999999}
200 {"buy":1311013.0125600002,"sell":51051.97044}
500 {"buy":1311013.0125600002,"sell":107259.37551999999}

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":282.5,"price":0.014}
{"size":1311.51,"price":0.013}
{"size":1875.12,"price":0.012}
{"size":400,"price":0.011}
{"size":50,"price":0.01}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":1622.99,"price":0.015}
{"size":23.51,"price":0.016}
{"size":78.87,"price":0.017}
{"size":1593.03,"price":0.018}
{"size":6761.78,"price":0.019}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":1622.99,"price":0.985}
{"size":23.51,"price":0.984}
{"size":78.87,"price":0.983}
{"size":1593.03,"price":0.982}
{"size":6761.78,"price":0.981}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":282.5,"price":0.986}
{"size":1311.51,"price":0.987}
{"size":1875.12,"price":0.988}
{"size":400,"price":0.989}
{"size":50,"price":0.99}