Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSCOURT CASESCULTUREMASSACHUSETTSCOURTS
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$555

7d vol

$24,666

Open int.

$54,139

Activity

7 traders · 7 signals · updated 41 min. ago

Score breakdown

2 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 1.75¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.02

No Lead

Mid 98.25¢·Bid 0.98·Ask 0.98

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one murder charge in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either the specified date, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty for all murder charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for murder. If all murder charges against Clancy are dropped, or otherwise changed such that they are no longer considered murder, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.

Resolution criteria

https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf

Resolution source

https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf

Event

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.017500000000000005,
    0.9825
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 24665.779352999998,
    "volume_24h_usd": 555.06,
    "open_interest_usd": 54139.41376
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":13.014,"sell":0.41208}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":3140.63607,"sell":10243.538890000002}
  • 200 {"buy":673527.1986799999,"sell":28641.73287}
  • 500 {"buy":673527.1986799999,"sell":51133.470949999995}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":723,"price":0.982}
  • {"size":1746.57,"price":0.981}
  • {"size":5000,"price":0.98}
  • {"size":531.7,"price":0.979}
  • {"size":1000,"price":0.978}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":24.24,"price":0.983}
  • {"size":5.6,"price":0.984}
  • {"size":8.76,"price":0.985}
  • {"size":215,"price":0.987}
  • {"size":400,"price":0.988}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":24.24,"price":0.017}
  • {"size":5.6,"price":0.016}
  • {"size":8.76,"price":0.015}
  • {"size":215,"price":0.013}
  • {"size":400,"price":0.012}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":723,"price":0.018}
  • {"size":1746.57,"price":0.019}
  • {"size":5000,"price":0.02}
  • {"size":531.7,"price":0.021}
  • {"size":1000,"price":0.022}