Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSSOUTH KOREA
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

93

Good

24h vol

$320

7d vol

$49,240

Open int.

$59,549

Activity

11 traders · 11 signals · updated 3 min. ago

Score breakdown

12 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

  • DEPTH_MODERATE
OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 3.6¢·Bid 0.03·Ask 0.04

No Lead

Mid 96.4¢·Bid 0.96·Ask 0.97

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.036000000000000004,
    0.964
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 49239.969262,
    "volume_24h_usd": 320.296068,
    "open_interest_usd": 59548.94784
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":8201.6124,"sell":7865.05354}
  • 200 {"buy":13694.92357,"sell":9162.24954}
  • 500 {"buy":146611.10902,"sell":10238.388940000003}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":1065.47,"price":0.962}
  • {"size":268.6,"price":0.957}
  • {"size":339.9,"price":0.956}
  • {"size":6552.96,"price":0.955}
  • {"size":50,"price":0.951}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":139.95,"price":0.966}
  • {"size":13.2,"price":0.969}
  • {"size":135.4,"price":0.97}
  • {"size":8158.9,"price":0.971}
  • {"size":36.47,"price":0.975}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":139.95,"price":0.034}
  • {"size":13.2,"price":0.031}
  • {"size":135.4,"price":0.03}
  • {"size":8158.9,"price":0.029}
  • {"size":36.47,"price":0.025}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":1065.47,"price":0.038}
  • {"size":268.6,"price":0.043}
  • {"size":339.9,"price":0.044}
  • {"size":6552.96,"price":0.045}
  • {"size":50,"price":0.049}