Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSSOUTH KOREAWORLD
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

90

Good

24h vol

$19

7d vol

$39,187

Open int.

$57,607

Activity

15 traders · 15 signals · updated 8 min. ago

Score breakdown

56 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

  • DEPTH_MODERATE
OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 3.25¢·Bid 0.03·Ask 0.03

No Lead

Mid 96.75¢·Bid 0.97·Ask 0.97

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0325,
    0.9675
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 39186.95999999999,
    "volume_24h_usd": 19,
    "open_interest_usd": 57607.12298
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":2.414,"sell":0.62}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":12742.579,"sell":68.586}
  • 200 {"buy":12742.579,"sell":3942.11794}
  • 500 {"buy":372408.59156,"sell":8875.97929}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":20,"price":0.031}
  • {"size":13116.7,"price":0.03}
  • {"size":587.11,"price":0.011}
  • {"size":27921.27,"price":0.01}
  • {"size":3504.71,"price":0.009}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":71,"price":0.034}
  • {"size":26.74,"price":0.044}
  • {"size":847.16,"price":0.045}
  • {"size":889.55,"price":0.046}
  • {"size":1100,"price":0.047}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":71,"price":0.966}
  • {"size":26.74,"price":0.956}
  • {"size":847.16,"price":0.955}
  • {"size":889.55,"price":0.954}
  • {"size":1100,"price":0.953}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":20,"price":0.969}
  • {"size":13116.7,"price":0.97}
  • {"size":587.11,"price":0.989}
  • {"size":27921.27,"price":0.99}
  • {"size":3504.71,"price":0.991}