Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

POLITICSNORTH KOREAGEOPOLITICSWORLD

Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

100

Good

24h vol

$7,560

7d vol

$187,203

Open int.

$95,227

Activity

7 traders · 7 signals · updated 3 min. ago

Score breakdown

17 min. ago

Liquidity1

Spread1

Tradability1

Time left1

Execution notes

No major liquidity or timing warnings.

OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTDEPTH_STRONGPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 3.65¢·Bid 0.04·Ask 0.04

No Lead

Mid 96.35¢·Bid 0.96·Ask 0.96

Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…

Yes

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution criteria

Resolution source

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Resolve: —
Trades 24h: —

Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.0365,
    0.9635
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 187203.07735999994,
    "volume_24h_usd": 7560.136960999999,
    "open_interest_usd": 95227.32584
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
200 {"buy":63.96227,"sell":93.76704}
500 {"buy":95.50264999999999,"sell":124.93034}

100 {"buy":8296.0844,"sell":7372.875400000001}
200 {"buy":18252.70403,"sell":30363.57136}
500 {"buy":500093.00229000003,"sell":54005.36490000001}

Order books

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

{"size":2604.64,"price":0.036}
{"size":890.38,"price":0.035}
{"size":70.28,"price":0.034}
{"size":3067.18,"price":0.033}
{"size":401,"price":0.032}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":1728.71,"price":0.037}
{"size":830.01,"price":0.038}
{"size":456.16,"price":0.04}
{"size":1515.28,"price":0.041}
{"size":137.62,"price":0.042}

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

{"size":1728.71,"price":0.963}
{"size":830.01,"price":0.962}
{"size":456.16,"price":0.96}
{"size":1515.28,"price":0.959}
{"size":137.62,"price":0.958}

Asks (top 5)

{"size":2604.64,"price":0.964}
{"size":890.38,"price":0.965}
{"size":70.28,"price":0.966}
{"size":3067.18,"price":0.967}
{"size":401,"price":0.968}