Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM

MIDDLE EASTISRAELGEOPOLITICSFOREIGN POLICYWORLDTRUMP X SAUDITRUMP-NETANYAHU
Open on Polymarket ↗

Score

91

Good

24h vol

$77

7d vol

$3,134

Open int.

$27,538

Activity

6 traders · 6 signals · updated 15 min. ago

Score breakdown

17 min. ago
Liquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1

Execution notes

  • DEPTH_MODERATE
OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_OKPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH

Outcomes

Yes

Mid 2.1¢·Bid 0.02·Ask 0.03

No Lead

Mid 97.9¢·Bid 0.98·Ask 0.98

Price (MID)Entropy0·Datahigh

Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB

Updating…
Yes
No

Signals on this market

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Top traders

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Context

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Resolve
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Trades 24h
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Advanced data

Market metrics (raw)

{
  "p_normalized": [
    0.021,
    0.979
  ],
  "activity": {
    "trades_24h": null,
    "volume_7d_usd": 3134.3129270000004,
    "volume_24h_usd": 77.15,
    "open_interest_usd": 27538.42336
  },
  "leader_outcome_id": 1
}

Depth / impact

Yes

  • 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • 500 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
  • —

No

  • 100 {"buy":2869.212,"sell":58.47}
  • 200 {"buy":23234.77912,"sell":290.59000000000003}
  • 500 {"buy":46581.40912,"sell":4772.089289999999}
  • —

Order books

Outcome 1

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":30,"price":0.975}
  • {"size":30,"price":0.974}
  • {"size":40,"price":0.968}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.967}
  • {"size":100,"price":0.959}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":164,"price":0.983}
  • {"size":750,"price":0.984}
  • {"size":2000,"price":0.985}
  • {"size":2544.02,"price":0.99}
  • {"size":625,"price":0.992}

Outcome 0

Bids (top 5)

  • {"size":164,"price":0.017}
  • {"size":750,"price":0.016}
  • {"size":2000,"price":0.015}
  • {"size":2544.02,"price":0.01}
  • {"size":625,"price":0.008}

Asks (top 5)

  • {"size":30,"price":0.025}
  • {"size":30,"price":0.026}
  • {"size":40,"price":0.032}
  • {"size":200,"price":0.033}
  • {"size":100,"price":0.041}