Yes
Mid 4.35¢·Bid 0.04·Ask 0.05
Iran Nuke before 2027?
OPENBinary · Closes 1/1/2027, 12:59:00 PM
POLITICSIRANMIDDLE EASTNUCLEARGEOPOLITICSWORLD
Open on Polymarket ↗ Score
90
Good24h vol
$6,238
7d vol
$47,644
Open int.
$105,118
Activity
23 traders · 23 signals · updated 8 min. ago
Score breakdown
15 min. agoLiquidity1
Spread1
Tradability1
Time left1
Execution notes
- DEPTH_MODERATE
OPEN_AND_TWO_SIDEDSPREAD_TIGHTPLENTY_OF_TIMEDATA_QUALITY_HIGH
Outcomes
No Lead
Mid 95.65¢·Bid 0.96·Ask 0.96
Price (MID)Entropy0·DatahighCtrl or ⌘ + scroll to pan/zoom
Real-time mid prices from Polymarket CLOB
Updating…
Yes
No
Signals on this market
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Top traders
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Context
Description
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Event
Iran Nuke before 2027?
- Resolve
- —
- Trades 24h
- —
Advanced data
Market metrics (raw)
{
"p_normalized": [
0.043500000000000004,
0.9565
],
"activity": {
"trades_24h": null,
"volume_7d_usd": 47643.871426000005,
"volume_24h_usd": 6237.696253,
"open_interest_usd": 105117.89703
},
"leader_outcome_id": 1
}Depth / impact
Yes
- 100 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
- 200 {"buy":0,"sell":0}
- 500 {"buy":63.850950000000005,"sell":19.57788}
- —
No
- 100 {"buy":3828.34172,"sell":3606.9147300000004}
- 200 {"buy":10780.12111,"sell":5894.363920000001}
- 500 {"buy":399083.49837000004,"sell":7907.854800000002}
- —
Order books
Outcome 0
Bids (top 5)
- {"size":466.14,"price":0.042}
- {"size":375,"price":0.04}
- {"size":221.84,"price":0.039}
- {"size":233.98,"price":0.038}
- {"size":514,"price":0.037}
Asks (top 5)
- {"size":1418.91,"price":0.045}
- {"size":1312.22,"price":0.046}
- {"size":1054.85,"price":0.052}
- {"size":1058.2,"price":0.055}
- {"size":871.77,"price":0.059}
Outcome 1
Bids (top 5)
- {"size":1418.91,"price":0.955}
- {"size":1312.22,"price":0.954}
- {"size":1054.85,"price":0.948}
- {"size":1058.2,"price":0.945}
- {"size":871.77,"price":0.941}
Asks (top 5)
- {"size":466.14,"price":0.958}
- {"size":375,"price":0.96}
- {"size":221.84,"price":0.961}
- {"size":233.98,"price":0.962}
- {"size":514,"price":0.963}